2023 MLB: Which Second-Half Win Totals Should You Bet Based on Injury?

San Diego Padres Over 82.5:

The Padres have had a tumultuous first half of the season, with injuries significantly impacting every level of the team. Their pitching staff has suffered, with four of the five starters having dealt with injuries. Top hitters Manny Machado (hand), Fernando Tatis Jr. (suspension), and Xander Bogaerts (wrist) have all had stints on the injured list, contributing to a lower win total than expected. Despite these challenges, the Padres are built for a deep playoff run and a rapid turnaround is anticipated in the second half of the season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Under 92.5:

The Dodgers have also been afflicted by a barrage of injuries, particularly among their pitching staff. Star pitcher Walker Buehler is out for the year due to Tommy John surgery. Julio Urias, Clayton Kershaw, and Dustin May have each spent time on the injured list, with Urias being the only one to return healthy. Although the Dodgers' offense has also been impacted, their lack of depth in the starting pitcher role could hinder their ability to maintain their strong record.

Tampa Bay Rays Under 95.5:

Similar to the Dodgers, the Rays have seen their starting pitching staff depleted due to injuries. Jeffrey Springs and Drew Rasmussen are both out for the season. Their star pitcher Tyler Glasnow has been out for over 50 games in the first half of the season and, while he's returned, he's not performing at his pre-injury level. Additionally, Shane McClanahan is currently on the injured list due to mid-back tightness. The Rays' recent struggles are indicative of the toll these injuries have taken, as they've lost seven of their last eight games.

Los Angeles Angels Under 80.5:

The Angels' infield has been greatly affected by injuries in the first half of the season, forcing them to sign Daniel Murphy. Players like Anthony Rendon, Gio Urshela, and Zach Neto have all required stints on the injured list, with Urshela being out for the season due to a fractured pelvis. Furthermore, Mike Trout fractured his hamate bone just before the break and will not return until August. With this spate of injuries, there will be even more pressure on Shohei Ohtani, who has already locked up the AL MVP, to carry the team.

New York Yankees Under 87.5:

The Yankees, also known as the Bronx Bombers, have grappled with a wave of injuries affecting both their offense and pitching staff, resulting in the lowest record in the AL East. Key hitters Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, and Josh Donaldson have all missed over 35 games due to injury, with Judge's slow recovery from turf toe being a particular concern. Big offseason acquisition Carlos Rodon missed the first 90 games of the season and is yet to justify his hefty contract. Given Judge's slow recovery, the Yankees' offensive struggles are expected to continue into the second half of the season.