David Chao, MD
2 min read • October 08, 2023
Posted in
For three season’s the publicly documented ProFootballDoc five weekly picks record of 59% and +45 units ATS lived elsewhere. Now it is back home where it belongs. This is one of our best features and it is free. To get this info earlier including prop plays and exotics, sign up here.
By using the health advantages from Sports Injury Central field views, last year this feature was 51-15-4 (+16 against the spread) in our five weekly regular season picks mimicking the Circa and Westgate Superbook contests.
Our Week 4 picks finished a measly 1-4 which lowered our record to above 9-11 (45%) on the season.
The week has started rough with our Commanders -6 pick going up in flames on TNF. Here are our remaining four picks to right the Week 5 ship.
Follow up each week at sicscore.com or follow us on Twitter @SICscore for our ATS/Totals picks of the week as we plan to continue our winning ways for a fourth straight season.
Here are the remaining 4 consensus injury-based picks heading into a packed Week 4 slate
The Jaguars second London game in back to back weeks features a much more skilled opponent then the Falcons with the 3-1 Bills coming to London town. The Bills will welcome back Von Miller but expect him to be on a snap count and not 100% effective. The major issue that will lead to points for the Jaguars is the absence of star CB Tre’Davious White who will miss the rest of the season due to a torn Achilles. Second year CB Christian Benford was LP all week in practice and is listed as questionable which leads to the Bills poor SIC pass defense score 55.9. Bills face a Jags team without much issues outside of LB Devin Llyod who continues to recover from thumb surgery. The healthy Bills offense averages 34.8 PPG
The Panthers drive into Detroit with a low number of healthy secondary players with 3/4 starters either hampered or out. Number one CB Donte Jackson is listed as questionable due to a shoulder issue but has not been 100% all year after tearing Achilles last year. Jaycee Horn is on IR (hamstring) and FS Xavier Woods will miss yet another game due to a hamstring injury. The Lions will be without two offensive players in Amon St. Brown and Jahmyr Gibbs but are loaded with depth and should power through these absences. David Montgomery is more than capable of making you forget Gibbs while St. Brown is a much bigger loss but weapons like Jameson Williams (first game back from suspension) and Sam LaPorta can help fill the void. Expect a big game for Detroit against Carolina’s porous secondary.
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The SIC scores in this matchup may seem close but the Patriots have had quite the downturn in scores from last week to now. Major injuries on the defensive end (Chritian Gonzalez and Matthew Judon) have dropped the Patriots team score 13 points and the defense by 27.5 points! The Saints will be healthier on offense with Derek Carr a week better after playing poorly last week as he returned from a shoulder injury. Defensively the Saints have just one injury to Paulson Adebo (hamstring) and have the health/firepower to shutdown a mediocre Patriots offense. Three OL have questionable tags for New England and although all will likely play through they will at less than 100%.
The Jets fought well to cover the spread against the Chiefs on SNF but now face a tough Broncos defense getting healthier by the week. Justin Simmons is back this week which is a massive boon as he is the leader of the secondary and was clearly missed on the defensive end. Josey Jewell will return after missing last week due to a bothersome hip injury. Offensively they will likely be without Javonte Williams but should not hurt them as much as he has yet to showcase his abilities since tearing ACL. Samaje Perine and Jahleel McLaughlin are enough to carry the load for the time being. Besides the OL injuries that we have harped on since preseason, New York will be down two corners including their number two D.J. Reed which should be enough to push the Broncos across the line on Sunday.
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Written by David Chao, MD
