Taylor Bicht
2 min read • February 11, 2023
Posted in
Everyone will have a wager in some way shape or form heading into the Super Bowl so make sure you aren’t left out on Sunday when the Kansas City Chiefs face-off against the Philadelphia Eagles. Each entity has their own betting angle coming in to the big game and as always we at sicscore.com present a unique perspective using injury analysis to steer you wagers in the right direction.
Going into Super Bowl LVII, here are our Injury Based bets…
The Chiefs star QB is now multiple weeks removed from an ankle injury and although not at 100% health he is healthier than he was in the AFC Championship game where he rushed just three times for 8 yards. Was hoping the number didn’t jump high before the Super Bowl and it did just that now sitting at 19.5 at most books. Regardless in the boost in number the pick is still strong with the Eagles giving up the fourth mosf rushing yards to QBs this year. Expect the mobile QB to play magically through the ankle and rush for 20+ yards on Sunday.
The former Heisman Trophy winner will play in his first Super Bowl and at sicscore.com we have no worries over the shoulder issue he’s dealt with over the last month with no limitations expected in the Super Bowl. The real issue is the number is a tad inflated meaning there is value in the under as Hurts has only hit this number 41% time this season. Even if the Eagles are getting dominated early and go to the run this number just seems high and if you pair this with a less than 85% healthy RT Lane Johnson, under seems like the play on Sunday.
The Chiefs starting RB took over the job midseason and hasn’t looked back pairing nicely with receiving back Jerrick McKinnon creating a potent duo. Yardage wise Pacheco has been up and down during the postseason but the real issue is he is not getting enough touches. It is known that he plays in a pass heavy attach which limits his usage and with a healthy Eagles frontline we see him being ineffective with his touches on Sunday. Clyde Edward-Helaire will return to the fold Sunday returning from IR further limiting Pacheco’s touches.
The beleaguered wideout suffered an ankle injury in the AFC Championship game but will play in the Super Bowl. Starting slot WR Mecole Hardman will miss the game due to a likely core muscle issue opening the door even further for Toney. Ankle and hamstring injuries have bothered Toney for most of his career meaning he has laxity which should help him recover from the issue quicker. The number is low due to him not returning to the Chiefs last matchup but expect the former Giant WR to be featured heavily during the Super Bowl.
The Eagles main injury concern is the health of All-Pro tackle Lane Johnson who is playing through a torn groin and wouldn’t have surgery until after the SB. This means the issue isn’t improving and although Johnson has played phenomenally in the two games since returning, the issue can be exploited if they pass rush directly at him something 49ers Nick Bosa did not do. If the Chiefs copy the 49ers defensive scheme and focus on limiting Hurts rushing then this won’t be a lock but the Chiefs would be wise to utilize Jones bull-rush pass rush maneuvers against an injured Johnson.
Joel Embiid To Have More Rebounds than Jalen Hurts Rushing Attempts
For the degenerates the props are endless including cross sports props. This one allows you to combo basketball and football in a nice Philly Special based package. Embiid faces a Rockets team on Monday, 26th in field goal percentage opening many opportunities to rebound the ball. Embiid is averaging just over ten boards and should grab a few over his average meaning Hurts will need to run over ten times something he has done just twice in the last 6 games. This will be a nail biter and fun, a change a pace from the normal props on Sunday.
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Written by Taylor Bicht
